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Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. We will not share your email address with any third parties. Todays poll found that, among those who expressed a view, 76 per cent of voters believe the Scottish governments plans to change the law on gender recognition would pose a safety risk in women-only spaces, such as prisons, hospital wards and changing rooms while some 24 per cent disagreed. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. In the latest YouGov voting intention poll, the Conservatives have closed their gap with Labour to just four points. Scotland SNP Referendum Poll Latest News: February 5, 2023 - Bloomberg However in the aftermath of fresh partygate allegations in January 2022, followed by the publication of the Gray report in February 2022, the Conservatives dropped to their lowest polling position for over a quarter of a century, falling to a point last seen during the midst of the Major government back in the 1990s. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . Notable recent election polls Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope This compares with the position in the 2014 Independence referendum, when 55.3% of Scottish voters opposed plans for an Independent Scotland, with 44.7% voting in favour. Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. [1] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the next UK general election as a de facto independence referendum. Voting Intention polls & surveys | YouGov We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. But we can't do it without you. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. on public opinion. Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . Truss Extends Lead Over Sunak in Race to Lead UK, Poll Shows Slovakia's Smer back on top of opinion polls ahead of snap election bne IntelliNews 10:02 27-Feb-23. /Which party are you most inclined to support? NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news Labour scalps would include Tommy Sheppard, Angus MacNeil, Douglas Chapman and Stewart McDonald. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. Poll shows Scottish independence is not just a nationalist cause Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". 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Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. All Rights Reserved. Copyright 1997 - 2023 NewsNow Publishing Limited. Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? Britain Elects. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. independence? In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. UK PM Johnson's Conservatives see support slump to lowest since Voters head to polls across Scotland, Wales and England for devolved A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). It's Andrew's Previews for. Savanta ComRes said that the poll result "should not be treated as a headline Savanta ComRes voting intention". In early March 2023, the Labour Party continue to consolidate their substantial lead over the Conservatives, one which is now trending at 21%.. Polling averages extrapolated in the 3 weeks to 2 March place Labour on 47.3%, the Conservatives on 26.8%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9.3%. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Sign up for a FREE NewsNow account and get our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. 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Another. Stay informed. Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Early 2021. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. ", Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. An existing account was found for this email address. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023. places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. This once again reaffirms how sleaze and scandal remain the most potent political weapons in British politics, ones which can quickly and easily cut through to voters. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Question asked. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Pollster. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. YouGov is a global public opinion and data company. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? 2019 thelondoneconomic.com - TLE, International House, 24 Holborn Viaduct, London EC1A 2BN. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Five missions focused on fixing the fundamentals, says Starmer ahead of major speech, The decline and fall of the one nation Conservative. A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. conservative party Labour Party Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. Which party will you vote for? Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. Voting Intention: Con 28%, Lab 45% (23-25 Sep 2022) | YouGov Topic . Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. Support for Welsh independence at its lowest level for three years, St And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. New YouGov projections suggest Tories could become UK's FOURTH party King Charles III retains popular support in Wales, new poll shows, but The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Poll: DeSantis surges to 5-point lead over weakened Trump in 2024 Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. Question asked is stated in notes field. YouGov | What the world thinks US ; About ; For business ; . In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Much of the YouGov poll's Labour lead was buoyed by 17% of people who had previously voted for Boris Johnson saying they would now vote for Labour - double that of a week ago. Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. YouGov: 24 Apr 2020 - 27 Apr 2020: 1,095: 25: 15: 6 : 2: 51; Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland: 01 May 2020 - 05 May 2020: 1,086: 26: 17: 5 : 2: 50; Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop: Published Polls - Savanta - ComRes Sustainable shooting key to governments nature recovery plans, Press release: Shootings role outlined to the new Welsh parliament, Liz Truss says she would use nuclear warfare, Hidden history: The Nazi-Soviet pact which Russia now tries to deny, The bigotry of Ukip is swamping the Conservative party, Very quietly, the coalition tries to dismantle judicial review, Comment: Anti-porn laws allow police to target those they don't like, Ambulance unions approached for pay talks after GMB tightens derogations, Reticulated giraffe heads to London Zoo before big breeding programme move, IRC Statement on IDC Report into UK Aid spend by the Home Office, Corporation tax is the tool to incentivise net zero, Trees: most accurate data yet shows glaring disparity in tree cover across England. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? And 50% of those who voted Lib Dem in 2019 would now vote for Labour, up from 27% at the start of this week.